new approach oregon
Ending Marijuana Prohibition

Latest Poll Shows Oregon Marijuana Legalization Winning

new approach oregonOregon was one of three states to vote on marijuana legalization in 2012. Unfortunately for my home state, it was the only one of the three to fail. The two biggest factors that led to the fail were a lack of funding and that the initiative was poorly written. Despite those two factors, marijuana legalization was within reach. Had national donors supported Oregon’s legalization efforts as they did in Washington and Colorado, there would be three states with legal marijuana on the books. Or, if the initiative had been written with reasonable limits, despite a lack of funding, I’m confident the initiative would have passed.

Fortunately for Oregon, voters will likely get another chance to vote on marijuana legalization this November. The New Approach Oregon campaign has national funders unlike the 2012 effort, and has reasonable limits written into the initiative. Polling was just released by Survey USA which shows marijuana legalization winning 51% to 41%, with 8% of voters undecided. It’s worth noting that there are three initiatives currently gathering signatures, and the survey did not ask people to differential between the three.

Males support marijuana legalization in Oregon far more than women. 57% of males support marijuana legalization in Oregon, compared to only 44% of women. 47% of women oppose marijuana legalization in Oregon, which is hopefully where a lot of effort is going to be targeted by campaigns. Younger voters (18-34) showed overwhelming support, with 70% of the age group saying they support legalization. Compare that to senior citizens, who only had 34% support. This is another group that I hope the campaigns focus on. In an ideal world, New Approach Oregon would hire Robert Platshorn of ‘The Silver Tour’ to tour around the state talking at senior centers, which I think would help out a lot.

There were many national organizations that said behind closed doors that they would not support Oregon if it decided to not wait until 2016. If/When Oregon legalizes marijuana in 2014, I hope these organizations realize what I’ve always said – Oregon is different than other states. For example, 2014 is going to see a hotly contested Governor race, and I expect voter turnout to be higher than other states for the mid-term election as a result.

  • Jason

    This campaign has two of the best political operators in the state working for it, plus an awesome new communications guy. Smart, smart people. I’m excited to watch this campaign unfold. The last campaign in 2012 had a public perception of being run by stoners, and now that same group is trying to get on the ballot again. That’s what scares me. This campaign is the opposite. very professional and smart people, national backing, and with our neighbors up north already having legalized, everything seems to be in their favor. Exciting times for Oregon, especially since this measure is better than either Washington’s or Colorado’s.

  • Choom Gang

    Three initiatives, is precisely where the problem lies. And that was the problem last time. If the three factions could only unite in Oregon, this would be much easier to pass. This is what Mason Tvert did in Colorado. He got all the factions together to hammered out a deal.

    Good luck Oregon!

  • skoallio

    51-41=51-49. Its only a 2 point lead. All the undecideds always vote no. On top of that, the anti marijuana campaign hasnt even started yet. No way is it going to win. Prop 19 was polling as high as 58 in the beginning of the campaign and it lost big. Add in the midterm electorate with lower turnout among young people and its even harder to pass.

    • stellarvoyager

      And I’m sure you’re getting involved, doing all you can to help it pass, right? Or are you just sitting on the sidelines and concern trolling?

  • Roger Turner

    it great that you all are getting a second chance I just wish texas would get a real inititive going with national backing

  • Hal Mason

    never more green