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How Accurate Are Florida Medical Marijuana Polls?

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united for care florida amendment 2 medical marijuanaFlorida voters will see medical marijuana on the ballot a little over a month. Amendment 2 would legalize medical marijuana in Florida, which is long overdue. The for and against campaigns have spent more money than any other marijuana campaign in the nation this election cycle. Alaska, Oregon, and Washington D.C. are voting on full legalization this November. I have seen polls all over the place for Amendment 2, as high as 88% in support, all the way down to the low 50’s. Two polls were released within two days of each other that were very different. Per the Miami Herald:

A recently commissioned poll by United for Care shows strong and stable support for Florida Amendment 2, a measure that would allow for the medical use of marijuana in the state. According to the survey conducted on behalf of United for Care, the main organization advocating for passage of the amendment, 69% of likely voters in Florida support this measure with only 28% opposed. 60% voter approval is needed to pass a Constitutional Amendment in the State of Florida. The findings are significant because they show voter backing of the amendment has remained virtually unchanged since the beginning of 2013.

United for Care has conducted four internal polls since January 2013, employing 3 different pollsters. The first survey by Hamilton Campaigns showed 70% support in January 2013. The second, carried out in March of 2013 by the Kitchens Group, revealed 71% intended to vote “Yes.” A June 2014 poll by Anzalone Liszt Research and Public Opinion Strategies reported 70% voter support for the amendment.

But then, just two days later, Survey USA released poll results which were much different:

The most recent SurveyUSA poll found 53 percent of likely voters in the state are planning on voting yes, 32 percent plan on voting no and 15 percent are still undecided. This is a small drop since their poll earlier this month which put the measure at 56 percent yes to 31 percent no.

Support is strongest among young people and weakest among older voters, but at least a plurality in every age group supports medical marijuana.

In most elections, anything above 50% would be enough. But in Florida, constitutional amendments require at least 60% of the vote. What people need to realize about polls is that they are just polls, they are not actual votes. No one will know exactly how much support there is for Amendment 2 until Election Day is over. Until then, keep fighting, keep spreading the truth, and keep debunking the false propaganda that medical marijuana opponents are spreading in Florida.

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124 Comments

  1. But that’s my only personal goal. As a whole I know Society needs to change from destructive to constructive methods. No more fossil fuels for a start. I hope to be of great service, if i can get there quickly and safely.

  2. It’s actually a war for money. Like WW2, like Iraq, like the Drug War :) They fight EVERYONE and anyone for money. Now i just hope in lifetime my I can have the ‘blemishes’ removed from my ”criminal” record on account of it’s unconstitutionality…

  3. I’m 62 and can’t see how 40% of people in my age group could vote against this. I predict at least 70% yes. It’s time to remove drugs from the black market-if your income comes from that market I hope you have to find another job.

  4. Ryan Neil McCafferty on

    I don’t know how familiar you are with statistical methods, but there is a potential bias in the polls’ sampling methods. Most polls collect data through telephone surveys. However, what percentage of these data come from cell phone users, and what percentage come from landline users? With a growing segment of the population completely abandoning their landlines, especially younger generations, I wonder how representative these polls are of the Florida population. In general, it’s best to ignore the use of statistics in popular press. Statistics is meant to test scientific hypotheses.

  5. If Republicans are the party for freedom and against government telling people what they can do, why is Sheldon Adelson spending millions in Florida to defeat the medical marijuana initiative? The War on Drugs is the epitome of bloated government spending in order to restrict personal freedom. The War on Drugs is actually a war on poor people and minorities. More people are currently in prison for drugs then for all other crimes combined. Morphine and oxycodone are legal with a prescription. Why should a person dying of cancer be denied marijuana that can relieve the nausea associated with chemo therapy?

    Law Office of Steve Bartlett
    Board Certified Florida Criminal Defense Attorney
    New Port Richey, Florida
    http://sbartlettlaw.com

  6. Adriannan Nonyo on

    Since this person didnt respond to you directly and you would probably will never see it im going to copy and paste it to you:

    Carpetmachineinc:

    Please don’t vote “NO” Sam1966! If you have issues with the details,
    those can and will be worked out with local and state laws and
    ordinances but voting against this leaves the whole state power
    structure and the powerful lobbyist in control like always. We don’t
    need more reasons to send our kids to prison, we need fewer. We don’t
    need more ways for people like Pam Bondi and her like playing doctor and
    interfering with doctors and their decisions. This control the people
    stuff has got to stop people. My 21 y/o daughter Taylor has some serious
    and painful back problems. So far nothing has resolved it. She called
    me a few weeks ago in the middle of the night crying out in horrible
    pain. On top of that she is trying to raise a 2 year old Autistic child
    by herself. As a father I can’t tell you what that feels like knowing
    there is nothing you can do to help. She ended up going to the hospital
    emergency room. Later I learned the nurse or the Doctor told her
    something to the effect “I’m so sorry sweetheart. This is not what I
    would normally give you for your pain but they have really tightened up
    on what we can do”. I sit here and I think what this world has come to.
    Ever sense mankind has existed in our modern form, well over 50,000
    years, we have had cures for suffering. No one ever has had the audacity
    to be arragant enough to believe they can from a distance decide every
    personal issue and lord over the people like a maniacal monster. No
    government has ever, ever gone this far, ever! Amendment 2 helps put a
    stop to the insanity and it absolutely must stop! My feelings about this
    are so strong and that have absolutely nothing to do with Cannabis. It
    has everything to do with special interest and lobbyist controlling and
    torturing the lives of free people. You are not immune to this my friend
    and I’m now 67 years old, so I don’t have the time to wait for the day
    when you come to me and say “You were right Gary”. A lot is at stake
    here They have billions of dollars to spend on the lies. Don’t buy the
    Lie!

  7. I’ll trust a jury not to convict more than I trust the government not to increase possession and distribution penalties.

  8. MM can lead to possession of control substances charges far worse than already exist.

    Free the Weed for everyone.

  9. People who would vote no on ammendment 2 should think very hard about it. After all, we have legal alcohol, responsible for the second most deaths in our great country. We have legalized narcotics being prescribed for pain. Both alcohol and narcotics are highly addictive and a person can overdose on them easily. Medical Marijuana is not addictive, nor is it deadly with very few deaths believed to have been indirectly caused by it. It has been medically proven to work for seizures and pain relief. It is also believed to help people who suffer from anxiety disorder and could cause a dramatic decrease in the use of drugs heavily prescribed and abused such as Xanax. States that have MM are not having problems and none are trying to appeal it. Reports are almost all positive, from tax revenue for the state, less money spent on arresting people for possession, less money waisted housing Marijuana smokers in our over crowded and unreasonably expensive jails and prisons, less police enforcement expenses, less people using narcotics and most likely less alcohol use, which leads to less unnecessary deaths. Think about it.

  10. You’re misinformed.. MM is the only step toward legalization! Do your research.. Research all the states that have it and the lack of problems it has created. Then look at the past MM in the states that have legalized or have it on their ballot. You might want to rethink your position.

  11. You’re misinformed.. MM is the only step toward legalization! Do your research.. Research all the states that have it and the lack of problems it has created. Then look at the past MM in the states that have legalized or have it on their ballot. Then rethink!

  12. So, Shootfirst, you think it’s just fine to prosecute a dying cancer patient for desparately self medicating with cannabis?
    You know, food is nice too, maybe you could settle for something similar to nourish you.

  13. please vote yes on 2 myself and my 78 yr old mother will benefit greatly on the passing of this amendment. I shouldn’t have to buy marijuana illegally when its the only medicine i have found to work. my 78 yr old mother has tried the edibles and felt relief from her back pain ,last year she broke her back and pelvic in 5 places underwent a 5 hr surgery to put her back together.After eating only a couple of cookies she is able to sleep without waking up every few hours in pain, it’s compassionate care

  14. No problem sleeping at all.

    I’ve used cannabis for about 50 years. Still do. There isn’t much I don’t know about it. I know Florida state law already allows for Medical Use. I know that if you don’t want to go through that hassle you can still get cannabis. I know that cannabis is nice but there are other drugs that do similar work. I know that if you’re dying of chemo no jury of your peers is going to convict you of possession.

    Time will come when it is legal for all, until that time a multi-tiered approach is the wrong choice.

    Good day.

  15. I know you have a right to your opinion but I’ll tell you straight out, I don’t know how you sleep at night. I could probably find plenty of things wrong with the law but never would it be possible to be as cruel and wrong as the law is now, without the amendment.

  16. Please don’t vote “NO” Sam1966! If you have issues with the details, those can and will be worked out with local and state laws and ordinances but voting against this leaves the whole state power structure and the powerful lobbyist in control like always. We don’t need more reasons to send our kids to prison, we need fewer. We don’t need more ways for people like Pam Bondi and her like playing doctor and interfering with doctors and their decisions. This control the people stuff has got to stop people. My 21 y/o daughter Taylor has some serious and painful back problems. So far nothing has resolved it. She called me a few weeks ago in the middle of the night crying out in horrible pain. On top of that she is trying to raise a 2 year old Autistic child by herself. As a father I can’t tell you what that feels like knowing there is nothing you can do to help. She ended up going to the hospital emergency room. Later I learned the nurse or the Doctor told her something to the effect “I’m so sorry sweetheart. This is not what I would normally give you for your pain but they have really tightened up on what we can do”. I sit here and I think what this world has come to. Ever sense mankind has existed in our modern form, well over 50,000 years, we have had cures for suffering. No one ever has had the audacity to be arragant enough to believe they can from a distance decide every personal issue and lord over the people like a maniacal monster. No government has ever, ever gone this far, ever! Amendment 2 helps put a stop to the insanity and it absolutely must stop! My feelings about this are so strong and that have absolutely nothing to do with Cannabis. It has everything to do with special interest and lobbyist controlling and torturing the lives of free people. You are not immune to this my friend and I’m now 67 years old, so I don’t have the time to wait for the day when you come to me and say “You were right Gary”. A lot is at stake here They have billions of dollars to spend on the lies. Don’t buy the Lie!

  17. I am a Florida voter and am voting NO because the amendment is way too open ended. It puts no restrictions on the use and we have had major issues in the state with pill mill doctors that would write anyone a script for whatever they wanted with no medical tests. It took years but we finally seemed to have enacted laws and cracked down enough to eliminate most of the pill mills from the state. The current Amendment 2 is so open ended that it will produce the same thing but with pot mills. It does not require that doctors even write a dosage on the script, so basically the person could take (and sell to others) as much as they want once they get the script. If it truly is such a miracle drug then there should be dosing guidelines. To me this is just a side way for people that want to smoke pot for recreation to get it legally. If this truly was about helping people with pot as a medically needed drug then it would only legalize the version that does not get you high, so that there will not be abuse by people that are just smoking it for fun. If it does pass though I am going to try to open up a Taco Bell franchise as the demand for TB and Doritos is going to soar in the state.

  18. Please, you have to understand that it is a step in the right direction. My brother needs this more than anything. My family has been having to buy marijuana illegally for the past 6 years because it’s the only way he can be without pain. The stress is killing my father.

    Please people, put your own doubts aside, there are people who really need this. Please.

    +

  19. Bad logic – medical now, to help sick people, then full legalization later. Then when it’s fully legal, the bureaucracy wont matter, people can just buy it on their own. We lose nothing by legalizing medical first.

  20. Better if legalized for adults rather than creating an entirely new bureaucracy to control med users.

  21. I surprised myself today and voted against this measure.

    Mainly because I think MM is just a pig in a poke and will be used to increase the power of government rather than help the people. Legalization is the only real answer.

    Founding member Marihemp Marketplace (from back in the Internet’s infancy).

  22. How cold are the folks that are anti Admenment 2. Medical marijuana is so misunderstood. Please vot e yes!! I do have medical issues that @ times can be unbearable. I have been put on so many pain pills that I couldn’t stand. My son who lives in Co. had me try an edible. I had no side effects & felt good for about 4-5 hours. I’m 70 & never thought that I would use marijuana. That said, I was against it. Then I realized that I was wrong.
    Fla. needs to understand that. that the time has come to be compassionate. Mj has been around for years. The folks that want it can get it. but the biggest argument against medical Mj is addition. More reefer madness crap. People don’t believe that anymore. Check the CDC stats. Deaths from Cannibus was zero last year. Deaths from alcohol 88,000. Please vote yes.!!!

  23. yabba daba do ya on

    let’s keep it real okay BUD? just how small is this struggling farm of yours? how many acres and how many plants do you sell annually? your post sounds like the big bad wolf huffing and puffing. keep it real… we dont need corporate farms growing mmj.

  24. Mister Greenjeans on

    My family owns a small farm and garden supply in the panhandle. With wally world down the street, we are struggling to keep the doors open. We have served the community for over 30 yrs. and with the passing of amendment 2, it will breathe life into our business and bring more jobs to our depressed local economy. Help keep small businesses like ours open so we can hire! Vote Yes on amendment2!!!!

  25. yabba daba do ya on

    yes he can in the name of safety and regulation. it took over a year for Colorado legislature to get it together

  26. yabba dabba do ya on

    Bill.. the amendement does not allow people to purchase MMJ illegally. IT will only be once they have a medical marijuana card from the state and then they will have to purchase from a licensed dispensary. You can get it illegally now very easily. Patients will not be able to get it elsewhere.. just because you are a patient does not mean you get buy it on the street. You can legally possess a certain amount but you can not just have a free card for street deals. the idea is to take it off the black market

  27. I just voted Yes on Amendment 2, Florida badly needs this to pass. Helping people with medical needs and a great source of Tax revenue. Its a herb people!

  28. Not true – that only legalizes:
    1. one strain (out of 100s)
    2. 3 conditions (out of 100s)

    It gets us 1% of the way there. Vote Yes On 2 to get us the other 99% of the way there.

  29. me myself and i on

    do a bit of research. its not hard to find out. you can get pot already for medicinal needs. i don’t need my kid going down to get a pot gummy bear to cure his tummy pains. this is not the same thing. google it. i did, this is just a small amount of info that comes up.

    MEDICAL MARIJUANA LEGAL IN FLORIDA

    It is now official. Today, Monday, June 16, 2014, Florida Governor Rick Scott has signed into law the medical marijuana bill, which legalizes a low dose of marijuana with low levels of THC.

    Florida Senate Bill 1030, known as “The Compassionate Medical Cannabis Act of 2014” provides for the legalization of Medical Marijuana also nicknamed “Charlotte’s Web”, which will allow for a low THC strain of marijuana in Florida. The purpose of Charlotte’s Web and the decriminalization of marijuana is to benefit terminally ill patients, cancer patients and children with seizures. Upon signing the Compassionate Medical Cannabis Act of 2014, Bill 1030 is immediately effective.

    The signing of the Bill 1030, the Charlotte’s Web bill is not to be confused with Florida’s Amendment 2, which if accepted by voters this upcoming election in Florida, would allow for broader use of marijuana to treat any illness and other medical issues with any strain of marijuana.

  30. It’s a const amendment, so there wont be anything to litigate at the state level. At the local level, towns may delay opening up dispensaries, so that just means patients will get it elsewhere.

  31. yabba daba do ya on

    i hope you are right and it will get bogged down in litigation. it will be added to the constitution but that does nothing until cops and cities actually figure out how they want to regulate it and they will stonewall for a long time to do B.S. studies etc. all in the name of figuring out who they want to have access and who they don’t and time to allow themselves to get theit friends and family

  32. By all the #s ive seen, it looks like this will pass. Both polls and models say so, so far.

  33. yabba daba do ya on

    hey you do not support full legalization. i watched my cousin with stage 4 cancer on her death bed after 12 rounds of chemo start to take edible marijuana and it reduced her nausea and allowed her to eat. she needed food and substance for her life and to heal.. without marijuana she would be dead. There is no take a pill and cure cancer. it is an entire defensive approach of mental attitude, food, care, and medecine and marijuana is and should be an integral part of any cancer cure.

  34. yabba daba do ya on

    First of all whoever believes to vote no on this because they expect the Florida legislature to bring medical marijuana for all to Florida is an IDIOT! VOTE YES. ALWAYS VOTE YES for what you “THE PEOPLE” want and make sure it is in the CONSTITUTION of the state! Now, seeing that I am from Colorado and I am currently in Tallahassee strictly to make my own assessment as to whether this will pass or not because I am going to open dispensaries like I did in Colorado and Seattle; I will tell you this. It does not look good here in Tally. I have been hitting up college bars, college games, concerts, the mall, and long wait lines on fridays at restaurants and I am asking people of all ages what they think. Guess what.. the majority are all for it but THEY THINK IT ALREADY PASSED!!! I am not kidding they think the Charlottes web medical marijuana legislation was it. Pretty smart for the Florida Legislature to cut this off at the pass so that access for all is really almost access for none! Unfortunately the government has succeeded. IF the constitutional amendment passes then clinics would open that would allow patients with back pain and sleeping disorders to legally get medical marijuana cards and in a few years you would see such a rampant abuse of the system that the state would eventually vote for legalization just like colorado did!! I DO NOT SEE THIS PASSING! the government does not enjoy giving up policing and revenue avenues to help out joe citizen so i do not see this passing. Straight legalization is the best route but that won’t happen for awhile. Crime si down in Colorado and taxes are up.. i voted against taxing MJ at 35 % .. it was already passed with the 3.2 % state tax when we constitutionally voted it in.. why these idiots in colorado voted for 30 % taxes on it is beyond me.. they said for schools but they already amended that and hired 100 new police officers in DENVER due to the 50 million dollars the new taxes brought in. BOTTOM LINE: it will not pass.. makes me so sad.

  35. Lynn Boostedt on

    We would have to wait a long time. Legislature has already proved It will move to pass anything cannabis. What you need to know is cannabis is safer than the morphine I take. The Charlotte’s web Legislation that passed Is so restricted nobody will benefit. It might only work for limited conditions. It’s a smoke screen that is designed for failure. By the people for the people. Cannabis will never cause as much problems as alcohol. There are 88,000 deaths each year in the US from alcohol use and 0 from cannabis. It’s up to the people now. Government has failed to act.

  36. Samuel Beckett on

    I was waiting for Godot but now I can also wait for the legislature and governor to institute a medical marijuana bill at the same time.
    We are asked to vote no and to “work with the state legislature to legalize it through conventional means where control remains where it belongs.” I hadn’t realized that direct democracy by popular vote is not where power belongs.

  37. I also am voting yes on 2. I also think many productive, smart people are too busy being productive to troll on social media sites. Thus, the kook fringe is heavily visible on these formats.

  38. Unclear if pot makes a person stupid, or if stupid people are attracted to pot. I think its a little bit of both. That said, we should be thankful many of “these types” smoke weed and not crack. Also thankful that weed, for many people, replaces alcohol.

  39. You copied this list from CannibisScience, a publicly traded company as listed on the OTC. They are obviously biased. http://www.cannabisscience.com/index.php/news-media/news-archive/215-cannabis-science-publishes-list-of-over-800-peer-reviewed-cannabis-and-cancer-references-from-scientists-around-the-world
    I suppose you know what a membrane lipid raft is? Lets take for example “Cannabidiol induces programmed cell death in breast cancer cells by coordinating the cross-talk between apoptosis and autophagy” This does not translate that weed is a cure for cancer, Dozens of compounds in things like banana’s and fish oil also induce programmed (cancer) cell death. So does radiation.

  40. I want to apologize for using the word stupid. We are on the same side on this matter. Ive aleady stated I am pro legalization, totally, for recreational purposes as well. There have in fact been numerous medical studies, but not nearely enough. The studies are now under way, but bona fide studies take time, usually more than year or two. The “damn has been broken” for weed. As fell alcohol prohibition, so will weed prohibition. As more time goes by, folks will see Colorado et al will save a ton of money, generate tax cash, and society will not collapse. My big gripe right now is the Feds, Obama “has a pen” in which he likes to exceed his authority, but will not use it to decriminalize weed.

  41. Cool, thanks. One thing that happened in MA was that they tied up dispensary licensing, so that people still need to use the black market. So you’re saying that dispensaries should be able to get up and running pretty quickly? That would be good, as i’m moving to FL in 2015.

  42. It is impossible, a Constitutional amendment cannot be litigated. Only approved or not by the voters. If approved, there will be medical weed shortly thereafter.

  43. The Governor can not “tie this up in litigation”, this being a Constitutional amendment.

  44. The State legislature overwhelmingly opposes this measure. Your entire premise is flawed. “In case (sic) it is a bad idea? We are not the first to do this.

  45. LOL! apparently you cant read. I’m pro Question 2. Put on your glasses next time before you spout your garbage. It’s people like you who make the Question 2 supporters look incompetent.

  46. janice williams on

    You don’t know what you are taking about Bill I have smoked weed for over 40 years & my lungs & heart are find it helps me with a lot of things you should try it or just go drink another beer or glass of wind or whatever & it just might kill you this time & smoke a caner stick while you are at it but that’s ok because it’s legal.

  47. Florida does NOT need a constitutional amendment for this purpose. Period!. The Florida Legislature, along with the Governor can legalize the medical use of marijuana. This Amendment is simply a means by which a lawyer (Morgan) is trying to bypass the State legislature to accomplish what he has not been able to accomplish through normal lobbying.

    The problem with a Constitutional amendment is that it’s difficult to amend, change, alter or even get rid of in the case that this turns out to be a bad idea.

    A constitution amendment for this purpose is like swatting a fly with a cargo truck.

    If you are for the legal use of marijuana for medical purposes, I urge you to not to support a constitution amendment and work with the State legislature to legalize it through conventional means where control remains where it belongs.

  48. LArcdeTriompheOnTiEsTo on

    Well, it might arrest or reduce cancer, but you have a right wing govt that has been stonewalling scientific studies on the topic for DECADES. Unlike a few of these folks on here, I can see that your point is that we should not be focused on unrealistic/nonexistent data that make MJ look like a 19th century cure-all elixir, when it is not. That is probably a debate for another time, after we’ve had a chance to examine the medical effects more closely. One thing is certain: it reduces pain, assists glaucoma patients, and works VERY well as a palliative measure for cancer sufferers– far better than anything that big pharma has ever produced and profited from. The platform should be run on the people’s will and real medical knowledge, which _does_ exist for MJ, particularly in peer-reviewed journals from less oppressive countries that allow scientific inquiry on so-called taboo topics.

  49. u won’t see me in an old folks home but if i did i would want one with pot and an open bar

  50. If someone would rather take a script for pot instead of a script for oxycotton for their pain management why would anyone else want to tell them what to do unless they are selling pills. opiates aren’t even good for long term pain management they just get u addicted with serious withdrawls and have to have the drug just to feel well and they have to keep stepping the dose up and they are terrible for your liver and over 10,000 people a year die from an over dose just from opiates. states that legalized marijuana people are getting off of the pain pill addictions and finding it works better for pain than all the pills the pharmaceutical companys are pushing and thats probably the only people pushing for a no and probbly bought off the yes campane, all the old folks homes are big big money for pill pushers and if your had to go to an old folks home wouldn’t you want to go to one that let you smoke pot if you had a medical card

  51. Getr-done Parmele on

    You are not too bright are you. Just because a doctor says one thing does mean he can prescribe it. Doctors have to follow state and federal laws regardless of what they think. If this passes it becomes law and then doctors can talk about it and recommend it to their patients. These doctors you speak about right now have their hands tied and do not discuss illegal activities for fear of losing their license. After 2 passes then you will hear a lot more from state doctors in Florida.

  52. Getr-done Parmele on

    Sorry they cannot hold it up. The people (Lawyers) who wrote this bill took safeguards to prevent the state or any judiciary to hold it up once passed. They have a time frame and there is no way around that.

  53. People like you keep prohibition in place . You claim no studies
    Because US gov control’s testing Spain,Israel and other countries have done testing

    Hers a keyword for you Apoptosis cannabidiol

  54. You think this will be tied up in litigation if it passes? i’ve heard that wont happen

  55. Reenee Cummins on

    Go with the Survey USA poll. John Morgan is waaaaaaay too optimistic, and his campaign lacks depth. The main message than most volunteers share is “vote Yes on 2”, which means nothing and says nothing. There is, of course, much scientific data on the use of medical marijuana, little or none passed onto the voters. In fact, when I talk to “WeCare” volunteers, they are not interested in the scientific studies! There are endorsements by popular doctors like Dr. Gupta and Dr. Oz, again – never mentioned. They volunteers are too busy campaigning for the Libertarian Governor candidate, who is polling at 8% and will probably cripple Charlie Crist’s chance to become governor. Rick Scott will assure that this is tied up in litigation. as is the Charlotte’s Web law that he signed.

  56. But just in case you’re not dumb, and want to educate yourself, here are some studies to get started with. There are 100s more, but this will give you a head start.

    1. Proto, M. C. et al. Interaction of
    endocannabinoid system and steroid Hormones in the control of colon
    cancer cell growth. J Cell Physiol 227, 250-258 (2012).

    2. Hermanson, D. J. & Marnett, L. J. Cannabinoids, endocannabinoids, and cancer. Cancer Metastasis Rev (2011).

    3. Bowles, D. W., O’Bryant, C. L., Camidge, D. R. & Jimeno, A. The
    intersection between cannabis and cancer in the United States. Crit Rev
    Oncol Hematol (2011).

    4. Diaz-Laviada, I. The endocannabinoid system in prostate cancer. Nat Rev Urol 8, 553-561 (2011).

    5. Scuderi, M. R. et al. The antimitogenic effect of the cannabinoid
    receptor agonist WIN55212-2 on human melanoma cells is mediated by the
    membrane lipid raft. Cancer Lett 310, 240-249 (2011).

    6. Malfitano A. M. et al. Update on the endocannabinoid system as an
    anticancer target. Expert Opin Ther Targets 15, 297-308 (2011).

    7. Shrivastava, A., Kuzontkoski, P. M., Groopman, J. E. & Prasad, A.
    Cannabidiol induces programmed cell death in breast cancer cells by
    coordinating the cross-talk between apoptosis and autophagy. Mol Cancer
    Ther 10, 1161-1172 (2011).

    8. Vara, D. et al. Anti-tumoral action of cannabinoids on hepatocellular
    carcinoma: role of AMPK-dependent activation of autophagy. Cell Death
    Differ 18, 1099-1111 (2011).

    9. Saghafi, N., Lam, D. K. & Schmidt, B. L. Cannabinoids attenuate
    cancer pain and proliferation in a mouse model. Neurosci Lett 488,
    247-251 (2011).

    10. Guindon, J. & Hohmann, A. G. The endocannabinoid system and
    cancer: therapeutic implication. Br J Pharmacol 163, 1447-1463 (2011).

  57. Sorry chief, you’re just too dumb to know what you’re talking about. Anecdotes, in sufficient #, have tremendous evidentiary value. No proof is needed.

  58. “If pot cured cancer, oncologist would use it”……LOL! Good god son, you are too naive to have even the slightest clue what you’re talking about. Do some research and come back and tell us *why* oncologists cant Rx pot. Hint: it has nothing to do with studies.

  59. The whole medicine ruse is also embarrassing. Legalize it and be done with it. Once it is legal for recreational, this whole “medicine racket” will vanish. There are medical uses yes, like appetite inducement, ocular pressure relief, and seizure treatments sure. But to say pot cures cancer harms the argument to legalize pot. Where are the studies? Cite the bona fide studies please. Id love to see them. Facebook claims are not proof of anything except for pot induced stupidity.

  60. I’m not confusing anything. Cite the studies. “People on Facebook” is proof of nothing. If pot cured cancer, oncologist would use it. To imply there is a “magic pot potionb” to cure cancer is both misleading and stupid. How is it illogical to say if pot cured cancer, there would be no cancer? The statement “pot cures cancer” implies all types at all times. Pot does not cure cancer, cite the studies or go smoke more weed.

  61. You’re confusing “proof” with probability. There are studies from other countries. But we dont even need those. There are enough people who have been told to go home to die with, for example, Stage 4 lung cancer. Then they took cannabis oil, and today are cancer free.

    Your logic also fails when you say: “If pot cured cancer, we would not have cancer.” Not true. Most people with cancer do not try cannabis.

    The truth is – cannabis cures cancer. If you think that’s “stupid”, you have a lot to learn. Go into the Facebook groups where all the people headed for death with cancer were able to get healthy by taking cannabis oil. Tell them they’re “stupid”.

  62. I support full legalization, recreational and medical. That said, you people who say pot cures cancer are not helping the debate. That is 100% not true. If there were any genuine studies, cite them. If pot cured cancer, we would not have cancer. All you are doing is helping anti pot people prove how stupid pot heads can be.

  63. Because the “normal, responsible, mentally and emotionally, psychologically, intellectually balanced ” people who smoke weed won’t tell people like you that we do it so that you won’t judge us like you do everyone who’s open about it, and we also realize it’s illegal and don’t want to put our children, spouses and careers in harm’s way. Most smokers are secretive about it because it’s the only way to stay safe.

  64. eve-lynn Lespier on

    I saw this morning on WK
    MG the first attack ad telling people that the patient caregivers won’t know what they are doing because they have no med. training etc. and that its just making it legal for drug dealers ! They don’t mention the Big Pharma push of drugs to our doctors and telling us that we have to do their drugs ! We have no choice ! Well they took it away and i want my choice back !

  65. I hope Mr Holder does reschedule cannabis. I think he very keen on a lot of issues and seems like a very honest man. He notices thinks that are not normally addressed on in many case. Like the use of military vehicle and fire arms during the Ferguson protests. I think he has done more for average American than most other persons that have held this position.

  66. On Sept. 30th Call & e-mail outgoing Atty. Gen Eric Holder. Ask to remove medical cannabis from Schedule #1 before leaving office. Leave a message: 202-353-1555. Put Attn: Atty. Gen. Holder in subject line: askdoj@usdoj.gov

  67. Captain Obvious on

    When they get their legal bag of money from cannabis companies, the tide will change fast. Hopefully the money gets funneled into bettering our medical system’s research capabilities instead of another mystery war.

  68. Awesome stuff! LOL! i hope you did take some money from Adelson….. yes, i loved Intrade, i wish they were still around….. i would be tracking their odds on this every day

  69. Microsoft, Apple, Google, Face book were all developed by pot smokers. Even The FBI wished they could hire the smartest and brightest coders who are pot smokers ignorance is not a virtue.

  70. Why do people think they need to tell other people what they can drink or smoke or eat or wear or say?
    Why in the world , in this modern age, would anyone CARE what someone else does with his body?
    People all over the world eat, drink , smoke, dress, talk differently. And that’s FINE WITH ME.
    No one is forcing anyone to smoke marijuana. And if people have a marijuana problem….well, that’s THEIR PROBLEM. Right???
    Republicans are always telling us that people should allow the free market to determine what people buy or sell. If they want to smoke and get cancer….that’s their choice.
    So why are Republicans ganging up on marijuana.
    Millions of Americans smoke it everyday. Some of your best friends smoke it. And they aren’t raving lunatics.
    Why is it OK to buy alcohol or guns…and not marijuana. Makes no sense

  71. I agree, and my “Gut” tells me, something gonna give very shortly.
    We have a very vicious mid-term election coming.
    He (Obama) needs the Senate or he gets to sit on the small bus.
    Why not let Holder take the weight for the rescheduling. He’s taken the hit for everything else. ” He did it. not me ” scenario
    (gonna = going to, in Brooklyneze)

  72. No, the average of the polls is the best quick way to look at it… If someone had the time, you could go through the polls, weight them according to Nate’s pollster ratings that came out yesterday, and then do the average with the weighted polls (less accurate pollster’s polls don’t count as much).

    In 2012, the average of the polls was right on WA, CO, and OR initiatives.

    http://ballotpedia.org/Colorado_Marijuana_Legalization_Initiative,_Amendment_64_(2012)

    Polling average for: 52%, Actual vote: 53.42%.

    All polls showed it winning.

    http://ballotpedia.org/Washington_Marijuana_Legalization_and_Regulation,_Initiative_502_(2012)

    Poll avg for: 51%. Actual vote: 55.7%

    Both polls showed it winning.

    http://ballotpedia.org/Oregon_Cannabis_Tax_Act_Initiative,_Measure_80_(2012)

    Only one poll. Showed it losing. Was off by quite a bit.

    I’m pretty sure there were other polls, but this is just what ballotopedia has listed.

  73. Since the polling average shows this is going to win (I’m skeptical, but there it is), I’d say turnout will make all the difference. If the YES people all get out to vote, it will win. My skepticism, though, is based on the fact that liberals and the young don’t vote in these off years. Maybe this will bring them out, and there is some evidence to say that these kind of issues do get people out to vote… but the likely voter model is more tilted to the right and the old.

  74. Nate didn’t do ballot projections when he was at the NYT, but now that he’s out on his own, he might. I tried to get the prediction markets I play in (play money, but real prizes) to do it, but they’re not interested.

    Intrade correctly called the three legalization votes in 2012. I had all three right. The polls were quite accurate.

    If you just average the polls, it looks like it’s going to win… 69%.

    http://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Right_to_Medical_Marijuana_Initiative,_Amendment_2_(2014)

    Also note on that page who the biggest donor to the NO campaign is.. Sheldon Adelson. $2,500,000

    When Intrade announced that one account lost $7 million on Romney, I immediately hoped it was him…. I like to think I took some of his money. Or maybe Trump.

  75. I know this will be off topic, but I just want to throw it out there as a serious question, since this forum seems to reach a wide audience, and that is why is it that it seems that nearly every person I’ve ever met who imbibes is – how do I put this? – kind of odd, or strange in some way? Present company excluded, of course.

    One of my major challenges, is to try to meet normal, responsible, mentally and emotionally, psychologically and most especially intellectually balanced people who have a sensible approach to cannabis in that it should not be treated as a party drug just to get “high” with, but rather as a medicine to be used in a responsible manner?

    Don’t misunderstand – I think that cannabis is wonderful if used correctly, but it just seems that most people who partake are not the sharpest tool in the shed, and also use hard drugs such as lsd, ecstasy, meth, coke, etc. No hate comments, please.

    I hope the amendment passes.

  76. Lack of personal experience with marijuana as well as having lived with years upon years of anti-marijuana propaganda. They just don’t know any better.

  77. I recently read some BS poll saying that support for marijuana legalization has dropped by 7 points in their polls.
    People, please be aware that right now, SAM, the DEA, the pharmaceutical companies, and everyone else with an economic interest, is throwing money at creating propaganda, to desperately try to sway voters.
    Why on earth Florida requires a 60% yes vote to carry, is beyond me.
    Vote. Get your grandparents out there to vote too.

  78. I agree with skoallio. Last year, my 86 year old Mother broke her hip and fell. She received excellent care, and spent a couple of weeks in a nice rehab center. She was however not eating enough, and was losing weight, losing strength, her memory was going fast. Fast forward several months and many emails between my brother and sisters. Thankfully, she lives in California, and we finally got her on medical marijuana. She takes tincture drops, has some kind of oil rubbed on her daily, and the improvement is miraculous. People were discussing nursing homes, and all sorts of the usual horrible options that our seniors face on a daily basis.
    It is the seniors that would benefit from medical marijuana, more than anyone else. As an appetite stimulant. A pain reliever, and an analgesic, it cannot be beat. Well, I suppose there are all kinds of opiates, with their addictiveness, and toxicity that may even surpass marijuana for that, but, they knock you out, and do not improve quality of life.
    It is obvious that the pharmaceutical companies are very worried about the legalization of pot. Once people learn just how effective marijuana is, for so many ailments, they will be selling a lot less of their toxic, overpriced pills.

  79. Will 538 have projections for ballot questions? I saw one news org yesterday say their model gave it a 62% chance of passing (i.e. > 60%)

  80. So true – i know so many people who were told to go home and die with, for example, Stage 4 lung cancer. After taking cannabis oil, they are alive and well years later.

  81. you have a better chance of walking to the moon than having a real impact getting Amendment 2 passed. All the pot smokers in Florida could vote, get their friends and family members to vote. Still wouldnt put a dent in the outcome.

  82. Why would seniors be least likely to support medical marijuana? Makes no sense since theyre more likely to get an illness that could be helped by medical marijuana.

  83. If you look at all the previous elections with marijuana on the ballot, the poll with the lowest support is always the real one on election day. Sad to say.

  84. You are totally right! I contacted my senator and congressman but Arkansas is a republican stronghold and if fell on deaf ears. I even told them that their positions could lead to their downfall but they didn’t care or believe it. They will probably be in bed when the MJ Train runs them over.

  85. Accuracy of polls are determined by what questions you ask and “HOW” you ask them,and the demographics of the people being polled. Other than that people do lie to pollsters and this has been demonstrated many times. The true and accurate polls are the ones done “After” an election. Look at what the polls were telling the Republicans before Obama was elected for the first time. The republicans had started thinking that their guy was a fait accompli but the election sang a different song.

  86. The most recent results out of Berkeley show a 96% remission rate with 72% THC, 28% CBD 1Gram/Day (oral) Medical Marijuana Oil.
    Cancer Patients Can’t Wait!!!!

    We need FEDERAL action on this right now.

    Its going to take time for legitimate industry to ramp up production to meet the needs of Cancer Patients.
    Every minute, another American dies of CANCER.

    CANCER PATIENTS CAN’T WAIT!!!
    Dying of Cancer Sucks — Ask Anyone Doing it.

    Contact your Senator and Congressman now!

    We need FEDERAL action on this.

  87. If Eric Holder wants to be remembered on the right side of history he with his own signature can reschedule cannabis.today.

  88. 538 will have their pollster rankings for this year out at some point… I think… or so Nate says… But anyway, we can look back at 2012 and the Presidential polling…

    Survey USA, which used robodial (not good) has an avg error of 2.2, which puts them in the middle of the pack. They have a bias of R +0.5, so they lean to the right a bit.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/

    Survey USA is using a likely voter model, which skews right and older, and that’s not good for us. It means that out the responses they got, the people most likely to vote NO are the people who are also most likely to vote.

    At this point, if you want to help the cause, the best bet would be to give to a good Get Out the Vote organization down there.

    If I had to bet, I’d bet it won’t reach 60%. But I wouldn’t bet much. These polls are too all over the place.

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