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Newest California Poll Shows Marijuana Legalization Not A Sure Thing

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marijuana Californiaby Phillip Smith

Even as a trio of proposed California marijuana legalization initiatives are getting underway in an effort to make the November 2012 ballot, a poll released Thursday suggests they could face an uphill battle. The Public Policy Institute of California poll had 51% opposing pot legalization, with 46% in favor.

In the survey, only the San Francisco region favored legalization, while a majority of Southern California and Central Valley residents opposed it. Not surprisingly, liberals and Democrats were more supportive of legalization than conservatives and Republicans.

In 2010, when Proposition 19 was on the ballot, it led in polls throughout the run-up to the election, sometimes achieving more than 50% approval, before the poll numbers tightened and then reversed in the final weeks of the campaign. Prop 19 lost with 46% of the vote, the same number the generic marijuana legalization question is garnering now.

The common wisdom among initiative and referendum experts is that an initiative should be polling at 60% favorable or above at the beginning of the campaign because support will inevitably drop as Election Day draws near, more people start paying more attention, undecideds are forced to decide, and opponents start attacking.

The man behind Prop 19, Oaksterdam medical marijuana entrepreneur Richard Lee, said earlier this month that his group’s effort to return to the ballot in 2012 is “pretty much dead, the funders didn’t come through.”

The funders haven’t been coming through for the other proposed initiatives, either, according to the California Secretary of State’s office. It reports no significant donations so far for Lee’s Coalition for Cannabis Policy Reform, the Repeal Cannabis Prohibition Act of 2012 initiative sponsored by a pair of North Bay attorneys and Northern California activists, theRegulate Marijuana Like Wine initiative championed by Libertarian and marijuana activist Steve Kubby and retired Judge Jim Gray, and the (reduce) Marijuana Penalties Act of 2012 initiative, being pushed by long-time Southern California political operative Bill Zimmerman.

If any of these proposed initiatives are going to attract the serious funding necessary to gather signatures to make the ballot and then pay for an ad campaign as the election draws near, there is going to have to be some evidence of a shift in these numbers. And it will have to happen soon, as the cost of gathering the substantial number of signatures needed to get an initiative to the ballot in California escalates as the time remaining to do so counts down.

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  1. The US government has had a patent on cannabinoids as a neuroprotectant since 2003. Quoting the patent, “This new found property makes cannabinoids useful in the treatment and prophylaxis of wide variety of oxidation associated diseases, such as ischemic, age-related, inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. The cannabinoids are found to have particular application as neuroprotectants, for example in limiting neurological damage following ischemic insults, such as stroke and trauma, or in the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases, such as Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and HIV dementia.” Surely they speak the truth about this. Have a look at the patent. http://patft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PALL&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2FPTO%2Fsrchnum.htm&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=6630507.PN.&OS=PN/6630507&RS=PN/6630507Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PALL&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2FPTO

    Dave Triplett (and others) have found cannabis oil to cure melanoma as he shows in his short movie about his own experience. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0tghUh4ubbg

    Cannabis has been proven to kill cancer cells in lab tests without harming the healthy cells present. http://www.gsalternative.com/2010/05/cannabinoids-kill-cancer/

    Many people have seen similar results personally, including a number of stage 4 cancer sufferers given ‘hemp oil’ by Rick Simpson in Canada, who were cured by ingesting it. (Rick said there was about a 70% recovery rate in those stage 4 folks; the rest died as their prognosis forecast.) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0psJhQHk_GI

    I have started a We The People petition asking the government to reveal what it knows about cannabis that is beneficial, since it has thus far only been releasing detrimental information. You can view and sign the petition here: http://wh.gov/4y0

  2. From: Whitehouse.gov [info@messages.whitehouse.gov]
    Sent: 9/23/2011 12:16:07 AM
    Subject: new petition

    Demand an Amendment to the U.S. Constitution
    to End Marijuana,Marihuana, Cannabis and Hemp Prohibition.

    You now have 30 days to get 5,000 signatures in order for your petition to be
    reviewed by the White House.

    Until your petition has 150 signatures, it will
    only be available from the following URL:

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    Here are a few tips to help you promote your petition and get to 5,000
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    I just started a petition on the White House petitions site, We the People.
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    http://wh.gov/gP1

    3. Twitter: Tweet about your petition. Here’s a sample
    tweet you can use:

    I just started a petition on the White House Petitions site, We the People.
    Will you sign it?
    http://wh.gov/gP1

    Dear friends,

    I wanted to let you know about a new petition I created on We the People, a
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    You can view and sign the petition here:

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    Here’s some more information about this petition:

    Demand an Amendment to the U.S. Constitution to End Marijuana, Marihuana,
    Cannabis and Hemp Prohibition.
    We the People of the United States of America
    Demand an Amendment to the United States Constitution to End Prohibition of
    Marijuana, Marihuana, Hemp and Cannabis because we have a Right to Equal
    Protection Under the Law to NOT be prosecuted and punished for for growing,
    harvesting, farming, using, smoking, selling, manufacturing, brewing and
    bottling substances and products which are equally as dangerous or LESS
    dangerous than other legal products and substances such as alcoholic
    beverages and tobacco products, as used and sold to adults age 21 and over.
    The government has entrapped Americans by concealing criminal penalties under
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    government spells marijuana and marihuana two ways in the law to conceal
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    Petition submitted to http://www.whitehouse.gov
    by http://USMJP.com

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